I can now explain why climate change can never become genuine. Measuring the present is science. Measuring the past is science. Measuring a linear track into the future is science. Measuring a complex set of linear interactions is science.
Trying to predict a future complex, non-linear system with countless influences, huge unknowns including massive gaps in temperature coverage, ice thickness, and most of all future feedback on top of the known CO2 effect is not scientific.
By pretending that they can guess the temperatures up to and beyond 100 years, plus the associated sea levels they have abandoned science for superstition. Our world, courtesy of the UN, is now being run by superstition. The sacrifices of current human beings for unborn ones in that imaginary future are the same as the Mayan sacrifices for a good year of crops ahead.
They may fool most people most of the time, but basing an ostensible scientific theory, claiming the status of gravity, heliocentrism and evolution the climatologists have dropped to the level of the Spanish Inquisition except the people see them as heroes saving them from the threat of frying under an identical sun to the one we have today and had yesterday. The time has come to take that trust and reliance away. There is no longer a discipline called climatology, they have deliberately chosen to leave the constraints of science and now no better than mock auctioneers.
The main criteria that need adding include: El Nino, La Nina, the oceanic oscillations over a decade to 30 years or so, plus their strength which of course is different every time and FOLLOWS NO KNOWN PATTERN. Solar rays and sunspot activity (different every cycle) and the distance from the sun which works on about a 100,000 year cycle plus the tilt which also varies over time. Then the geological continental drift and faultline activity which also affects the balance of the climate through shifting the previous figures around and affecting sea level when plates rise and fall. The land is also rising from the melting of the ice age glaciers and is subtracted from total sea level rise as a consequence. Undersea volcanic vents must be taken into account for the oceanic warming they add. You also need to factor in the existing trend, without which it would be impossible to know how much man may or may not have been able to alter it.
Then they have to know the saturation point of added CO2 (the as yet unknown concentration which fills its IR absorption spectrum), the reaction of water vapour to CO2 at all levels of the atmosphere (unexpectedly found to be replaced by it by the Aqua satellite, ie negative feedback effect) and potential cloud seeding effects, the possible reaction (or not) of the Gulf Stream, all delay mechanisms of ice melts to temperature rises, added CO2 dwell time (currently estimated between 3 and 500 years apparently...), oceanic and vegetative uptake (including the effects from added vegetation adding to the uptake), every single jet stream (ie the mechanisms which make it impossible to predict the season ahead by more than 50% certainty), and most of all the potential added water vapour predicted to be released by the oceans to the atmosphere as positive feedback. This is the climate sensitivity which in fact is the sole criterion the IPCC exist and fear additional CO2, but although the whole equation of multiplying CO2 can be done on a primary school level equation of 1C per 260ppm the rest is feedback which as yet has never been seen. By including positive feedback in the models all they have done is create the ending they required. And finally (but not least) they have to imagine the existing trend from the past and both extend that ahead and separate it, in the IPCC's case, from any alleged future man made element. Looking back in history the climate and temperature graphs are not exactly stable, in fact as I stated at the beginning, chaotic as that is their nature. Seeing how they alone project forward, add unknown effects from rising CO2, and then try and subtract one from the other to get an accurate separation between the two (based on at least the above criteria and many more) adds another even greater dimension to the task.
Expecting to take the variables, gaps in data and sheer unknowns (such as CO2/cloud sensitivity alone) and get anything meaningful is one beyond all reason and sense. The IPCC and associated scientists announce through the media and government spokespersons every day how policies must be made to stop these results happening solely based on this list of criteria it doesn't seem so sensible then.
Showing posts with label science. Show all posts
Showing posts with label science. Show all posts
Sunday, December 18, 2011
Saturday, November 06, 2010
The end of the week (not world)
Unlike last week which was free and pretty hard to fill with any more than the basics I managed a bit more with the similar version this one. After getting a message asking where my promised article was almost a year ago I explained someone else had already used it and wrote two new ones now sent off as replacements once I'd though of something relevant. The spare room is nearly done, the bed is now usable and just a bit of junk left to remove. Otherwise the ex came round as usual on Tuesday and the woman with intentions of marriage yesterday, and in between did some random photo trips and walks as the weather was sunny and warm for November, and the usual shopping.
I've got a sign trip set up for Sunday and anything else remains to be seen. I could do with some more inspiration really- getting a positive on an article will definitely help, but in the short term really have little idea. It gets too dark for photos around 4 now till March, so that will be restricted but the housework benefits as a result although can only be so much of that. I've also been pretty tired since yesterday presumably from the late night catching up with me, as I can't think of any other reason. Presumably my age is showing which we can do little about however much we exercise. An interesting aspect about the new article is presumably by writing about enlightenment although the teachings are not mine if they actually help a single person then I have helped them just as much as an original teacher. Just a practical point.
Anyway, this week was way better than last, but when everything seems exactly the same when you've finished once you run out of ideas it is something of an anticlimax. That can't be lifted by thought or action but wears off sooner or later when you get busy the next day or so. Meanwhile if it takes a year or five if the US climate enquiry does a good job then the world will be off the hook. I am fully aware of a situation where maybe half the population are physically unable to be aware of simple logic as their emotions and trance state have blinded them to anything but the level of fear created by Al Gore. But one thing about hypnosis is it always wears off. I've seen a few scientists who have come round recently, and probably many people have but don't dare to say so as they get such a bollocking from the hard of thinking. But for how long can that last now- they've been caught making up acid ocean stories (it's alkaline) and if they get so carried away they can falsify simple data anyone can find then they are now about to lose it completely. Remember Acid Rain for instance, which Matt Ridley pointed out yesterday fooled him until he found the predictions (as all are) never came true. Two examples of scientists getting it so wrong they should be struck off. At their position they have far higher standards to maintain than everyone else.
I've got a sign trip set up for Sunday and anything else remains to be seen. I could do with some more inspiration really- getting a positive on an article will definitely help, but in the short term really have little idea. It gets too dark for photos around 4 now till March, so that will be restricted but the housework benefits as a result although can only be so much of that. I've also been pretty tired since yesterday presumably from the late night catching up with me, as I can't think of any other reason. Presumably my age is showing which we can do little about however much we exercise. An interesting aspect about the new article is presumably by writing about enlightenment although the teachings are not mine if they actually help a single person then I have helped them just as much as an original teacher. Just a practical point.
Anyway, this week was way better than last, but when everything seems exactly the same when you've finished once you run out of ideas it is something of an anticlimax. That can't be lifted by thought or action but wears off sooner or later when you get busy the next day or so. Meanwhile if it takes a year or five if the US climate enquiry does a good job then the world will be off the hook. I am fully aware of a situation where maybe half the population are physically unable to be aware of simple logic as their emotions and trance state have blinded them to anything but the level of fear created by Al Gore. But one thing about hypnosis is it always wears off. I've seen a few scientists who have come round recently, and probably many people have but don't dare to say so as they get such a bollocking from the hard of thinking. But for how long can that last now- they've been caught making up acid ocean stories (it's alkaline) and if they get so carried away they can falsify simple data anyone can find then they are now about to lose it completely. Remember Acid Rain for instance, which Matt Ridley pointed out yesterday fooled him until he found the predictions (as all are) never came true. Two examples of scientists getting it so wrong they should be struck off. At their position they have far higher standards to maintain than everyone else.
Saturday, October 31, 2009
Is it actually happening?
Well I'm still learning. I see the way any positivity becomes sabotaged one way or another, which in duality (ie the non enlightened view) is inevitable. Heads and tails. You get the positive and the negative is there underneath about to cancel it out. But while in duality now I've seen this am working to see if I can divert it each time something heads in a positive direction to stop that before it does so.
So I've got a blank slate. My studying (such as it is) continues, most is familiar as I've been studying alien abductees for a long time already and those studies not familiar by name just cover the same things over again as basically the format of regressions and their subjects is pretty fixed within its parameters.
Besides my friends arriving from America next week for the second time since 2002 my plans are clear. A couple of bookings at least next week which is useful, although this week was unknown but got plenty done. I am still not dismissing the message I got something good is on its way, despite my initial feeling being within the next day. That was my test of faith. I think I know the difference between something and nothing and won't let that one go. If it meant rather than sit back and receive I had to do something, then I've done something and can only now sit back and wait as there's nothing else left.
Of course the future can go either way, and like the little device with pins in a triangle where the balls fall down and land in a triangle, the likeliest directions are near the centre, but then again one has to go at the extreme end sometimes and I'm well overdue one at the good end now. I certainly felt disaster coming most of my life and very reliably, and never seen anything good coming besides once when I knew I'd meet someone at my friend's sister's party, and she was one of the best ever. Sod the science, what I'm working with now all goes way above any science we can offer. It's showing new boundaries but so far not smoothly or consistenly, but what ever does?
So I've got a blank slate. My studying (such as it is) continues, most is familiar as I've been studying alien abductees for a long time already and those studies not familiar by name just cover the same things over again as basically the format of regressions and their subjects is pretty fixed within its parameters.
Besides my friends arriving from America next week for the second time since 2002 my plans are clear. A couple of bookings at least next week which is useful, although this week was unknown but got plenty done. I am still not dismissing the message I got something good is on its way, despite my initial feeling being within the next day. That was my test of faith. I think I know the difference between something and nothing and won't let that one go. If it meant rather than sit back and receive I had to do something, then I've done something and can only now sit back and wait as there's nothing else left.
Of course the future can go either way, and like the little device with pins in a triangle where the balls fall down and land in a triangle, the likeliest directions are near the centre, but then again one has to go at the extreme end sometimes and I'm well overdue one at the good end now. I certainly felt disaster coming most of my life and very reliably, and never seen anything good coming besides once when I knew I'd meet someone at my friend's sister's party, and she was one of the best ever. Sod the science, what I'm working with now all goes way above any science we can offer. It's showing new boundaries but so far not smoothly or consistenly, but what ever does?
Sunday, March 11, 2007
People can be arseholes.
I may doubt the effectiveness, but having no plans for the rest of my life so far seems to be balanced by others making them for me, or thinking of something on the day or the day before at most. Another week of work and taking photos, I earned a little (believe me, it was very little) but both took a lot of photos and uploaded nearly all the photos for my new album after finding a few missing of the CDs which I recover from online, except they only make minimum size prints that way. But once I add the last few I'll order 2, one for me and one for the gallery, and watch the apathy roll in. My 4 paintings have been there about 18 months and besides just being removed from a box have not sold one item. And if they were crap they wouldn't have accepted them, and the ones on my wall look pretty good so I assume the standard is reasonably consistent.
Other than that it's business as usual, ie blank. I already have a couple of bookings for next week but no more than last, but I suppose you can't be truly unemployed and self employed at the same time and when I work it may be at random but is slightly more than none. Most is from home (and the best paid ever), a little in the house opposite plus I now supplement my mum's gardener as he is a bit heavy handed so she'd rather I did the delicate work which is more pleasure than any of the others besides writing which I never got paid for anyhow.
I also found the channel that showed me 4 times in 3 months, Discovery Kids, has gone along with the Sky channels when my cable company decided to up their profit margin by reducing the channels they offer for the same price. Apparently no one has managed to make a case against them although unless a court tries it no one will know if they are legally doing so. Like I have the resources...
Sometimes it's hard to see the funny side of things, and while I look I'll add that despite pouring cold scientific water on the global warming movement on Thursday in the programme which explained why CO2 is hardly responsible for anything besides keeping many living things alive the movement progresses as if nothing happened although basically explained in great detail as a lie. We watched ice sheets breathe in and out every year in time lapse, they melt, they reform, ad infinitum. And guess what, there's more time in history without them than with. And when the climate was much warmer 500 years ago Europe thrived. And the poor polar bears somehow survived as well. How evil liars set to tax us and slowly kill us with radiation through nuclear power beat the intelligence of the majority of the population can only tell me how fucking gullible the average Joe is. How difficult is it to follow an article that gives no facts and based purely on guesswork as they almost all are? It never fooled me for one word, so why have more people on earth fallen for this scam than any other in history? I can only say besides the incredible organisation of the UN liars worldwide people must be thick as shit. What other conclusion can anyone come to? And to think the same people sit on juries every day, God help us...
Other than that it's business as usual, ie blank. I already have a couple of bookings for next week but no more than last, but I suppose you can't be truly unemployed and self employed at the same time and when I work it may be at random but is slightly more than none. Most is from home (and the best paid ever), a little in the house opposite plus I now supplement my mum's gardener as he is a bit heavy handed so she'd rather I did the delicate work which is more pleasure than any of the others besides writing which I never got paid for anyhow.
I also found the channel that showed me 4 times in 3 months, Discovery Kids, has gone along with the Sky channels when my cable company decided to up their profit margin by reducing the channels they offer for the same price. Apparently no one has managed to make a case against them although unless a court tries it no one will know if they are legally doing so. Like I have the resources...
Sometimes it's hard to see the funny side of things, and while I look I'll add that despite pouring cold scientific water on the global warming movement on Thursday in the programme which explained why CO2 is hardly responsible for anything besides keeping many living things alive the movement progresses as if nothing happened although basically explained in great detail as a lie. We watched ice sheets breathe in and out every year in time lapse, they melt, they reform, ad infinitum. And guess what, there's more time in history without them than with. And when the climate was much warmer 500 years ago Europe thrived. And the poor polar bears somehow survived as well. How evil liars set to tax us and slowly kill us with radiation through nuclear power beat the intelligence of the majority of the population can only tell me how fucking gullible the average Joe is. How difficult is it to follow an article that gives no facts and based purely on guesswork as they almost all are? It never fooled me for one word, so why have more people on earth fallen for this scam than any other in history? I can only say besides the incredible organisation of the UN liars worldwide people must be thick as shit. What other conclusion can anyone come to? And to think the same people sit on juries every day, God help us...
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