Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts

Sunday, December 18, 2011

The death of climatology

I can now explain why climate change can never become genuine. Measuring the present is science. Measuring the past is science. Measuring a linear track into the future is science. Measuring a complex set of linear interactions is science.

Trying to predict a future complex, non-linear system with countless influences, huge unknowns including massive gaps in temperature coverage, ice thickness, and most of all future feedback on top of the known CO2 effect is not scientific.

By pretending that they can guess the temperatures up to and beyond 100 years, plus the associated sea levels they have abandoned science for superstition. Our world, courtesy of the UN, is now being run by superstition. The sacrifices of current human beings for unborn ones in that imaginary future are the same as the Mayan sacrifices for a good year of crops ahead.

They may fool most people most of the time, but basing an ostensible scientific theory, claiming the status of gravity, heliocentrism and evolution the climatologists have dropped to the level of the Spanish Inquisition except the people see them as heroes saving them from the threat of frying under an identical sun to the one we have today and had yesterday. The time has come to take that trust and reliance away. There is no longer a discipline called climatology, they have deliberately chosen to leave the constraints of science and now no better than mock auctioneers.




The main criteria that need adding include: El Nino, La Nina, the oceanic oscillations over a decade to 30 years or so, plus their strength which of course is different every time and FOLLOWS NO KNOWN PATTERN. Solar rays and sunspot activity (different every cycle) and the distance from the sun which works on about a 100,000 year cycle plus the tilt which also varies over time. Then the geological continental drift and faultline activity which also affects the balance of the climate through shifting the previous figures around and affecting sea level when plates rise and fall. The land is also rising from the melting of the ice age glaciers and is subtracted from total sea level rise as a consequence. Undersea volcanic vents must be taken into account for the oceanic warming they add. You also need to factor in the existing trend, without which it would be impossible to know how much man may or may not have been able to alter it.


Then they have to know the saturation point of added CO2 (the as yet unknown concentration which fills its IR absorption spectrum), the reaction of water vapour to CO2 at all levels of the atmosphere (unexpectedly found to be replaced by it by the Aqua satellite, ie negative feedback effect) and potential cloud seeding effects, the possible reaction (or not) of the Gulf Stream, all delay mechanisms of ice melts to temperature rises, added CO2 dwell time (currently estimated between 3 and 500 years apparently...), oceanic and vegetative uptake (including the effects from added vegetation adding to the uptake), every single jet stream (ie the mechanisms which make it impossible to predict the season ahead by more than 50% certainty), and most of all the potential added water vapour predicted to be released by the oceans to the atmosphere as positive feedback. This is the climate sensitivity which in fact is the sole criterion the IPCC exist and fear additional CO2, but although the whole equation of multiplying CO2 can be done on a primary school level equation of 1C per 260ppm the rest is feedback which as yet has never been seen. By including positive feedback in the models all they have done is create the ending they required. And finally (but not least) they have to imagine the existing trend from the past and both extend that ahead and separate it, in the IPCC's case, from any alleged future man made element. Looking back in history the climate and temperature graphs are not exactly stable, in fact as I stated at the beginning, chaotic as that is their nature. Seeing how they alone project forward, add unknown effects from rising CO2, and then try and subtract one from the other to get an accurate separation between the two (based on at least the above criteria and many more) adds another even greater dimension to the task.


Expecting to take the variables, gaps in data and sheer unknowns (such as CO2/cloud sensitivity alone) and get anything meaningful is one beyond all reason and sense. The IPCC and associated scientists announce through the media and government spokespersons every day how policies must be made to stop these results happening solely based on this list of criteria it doesn't seem so sensible then.

Friday, June 18, 2010

Back despite non events

Besides an incredibly efficient trip to the dentist (quick, no injection, no pain) not a lot's happened since last time but if I start then something should still happen here. A lot to do at grandma's house tomorrow so no other plans besides that, but it has to be done. It's on the market now but no offers yet. But I'll always appreciate the freedom after 2 weeks waiting for dental appointments, the hygienist follows but nothing worrying there. Of course I'd still like more but hopefully more content with all there actually is.

I've been relaxing on twitter for a week or so taking the total piss out of the climate change mob. The total dross they link as if it's from the new New Testament by Jesus Gore himself is like watching the lunatics in Victorian asylums. I even start to believe it after a while, like hospital visitors do in psychiatric wards, but like them, it wears off soon after I leave. The clairvoyant drivel they spout, where thousands of academics paid for by you and me spend a few days in a hotel somewhere in a tourist spot guessing what may happen so they can get governments to do more (actually it's 'steal' more) to stop it happening, tells me every time why I do all I can to wake these total witless babies up. They don't think at all. Stop and look at the data. You can't see ahead in an open system, it may get you the weather over a few days (not in the UK though) as it's travelling in a fairly predictable direction, but that's the best they can do. Sea level predictions, despite being a few inches a century since Jesus lived, hook in all the poor sods who don't realise the only measurement that counts is today's compared with the past. If that's the same as it always has been then forget what they tell you as they don't have the ability to know, it's outside our scope.

But I've picked up a handful of followers there this week and a few compliments so not all wasted effort, and it's fun. I'm not trying to be rude or hurt anyone, it's similar to the army trying to defuse a ticking bomb, but with humour. They want to blow up civilised society to stop the climate blowing up civilised society, except the difference being they can do it and have already done a bloody good job. Apart from China there's no legislation on population, and none I know banning building on flood plains. If you built on a minefield and then moaned when a mine went off everyone would turn their backs and walk away, yet when whole cities are built in the mouths of river deltas and the like it's our job to subsidise them if they go under. That's not a fair deal is it? And not being a scientist I'm not going to learn the science they are using to guess the effects of a little more CO2 as it's degree level, but the difference between the equations they do present and common sense allow me to take them apart after the event. I do want a scientist to help me but they don't grow on trees.

So to follow the 2,500 scientists sent to throw dice to imagine future sea levels long after we're all dead, I'll think of a few plans of my own. I'm looking down every road within 40 miles in case more old signs turn up, writing articles from time to time, have three official forms to fill in over the next week or two, and meditating more again which may even have caused me to feel a lot calmer recently. I'll book up the check up now I'm free so I can get another supply of tablets, an eye test which I doubt will provide anything new but at least is free. I used to have a few pairs of frames but since I need £100+ lenses it's just the essentials. I had a plastic frame option as I prefer them but since they broke they're all metal now but very good ones. The photochromics are in a gold pair I got for £10 plus lenses, as I can still find frame bargains but can't afford the extra pairs of lenses to fill them now. If there's anything else I can't think of it, besides a football friendly or two next month when the pre season starts. Now I'll see what everyone else has written, I've got to get used to looking here now as well.

Monday, December 21, 2009

Something from nothing

This time last week I'd found an old sign on Streetview (rarest set of all) and was twiddling my thumbs waiting for the following day when I could go there and check. With nothing else to do I searched for more on photo sites, and after a few hours just at bedtime I found one a few miles away taken in June. So Monday I went there and found it, although there had been two in the parallel road that were gone a year ago when I discovered them. Later I drove the 20 miles or so to the other one to find a lamp post. A one one draw but got paid for it so in profit with something I wasn't expecting to find there.

This weekend I am lost, since the car radio was fixed on Tuesday for nothing it snowed and froze and just made quick trips to the park and shops before it got dark. I'm back on the net searches now as I can't go and take them if I don't look online. You can't drive every street in London just in case, but I did as many main roads as I could before Streetview and still drive whole towns in Surrey which doesn't take as long as you'd think. Besides being coralled into cleaning out someone's garage (I think he's scared of spiders, honestly!) on Wednesday (slightly less trouble than a funeral but no more pleasurable) the diary's clear ahead. But so are the ideas. If Roger's prediction of the next woman coming to me happens it will save my wasted effort trying to catch the impossible, like when the red triangle sign turned up at random in my messages after I'd already Streetviewed the spot. As I say, half and half, we can't make all our own results by effort.

I'm glad to say I did just get to summarise my last entry on Copenhagen on the radio, as what they did is no less than the biggest fraud on earth, as it involves every country that was there. How the most trivial amount of an equally trivial and vital gas can be blamed for something that hasn't even happened shows me how the world IQ is so damn low there are enough sheep to swallow the garbage and not see the huge holes that grow week by week until there'll be no garment left, just a few threads. Like the emperor's although you could never see these except in your imaginations.

There is the flow diagram I do which I can try and reproduce here for the unknown time ahead, thank goodness since things seemed to be guided the random has appeared to be more positive than in the toilet on average as it did previously.

Now:--------expected------> No more than usual> 1 week 2 weeks > possible book
\------better------find another sign
\ ---any unknown good news
\ ---other project completed- sign saved/completed Hertfordshire
\---->late result from past efforts

Usually this would have stuck stubbornly to the predictable line, but now signs have turned up about weekly for a year, with Streetview to help even after I'd covered most of London physically already. But the climategate emails saved me the hard work I've been putting in more and more for years saying what I knew they were up to, and now unless people believe their excuses (er, they didn't have any) we know. Things can shift in every stuck area, and even though the poor green bedwetting sheep are wetting their pants even more as Obama and his merry men haven't agreed to rule the world with an iron staff, it's their money that would be saved if all this stopped today as well as mine. So like God in the bible you have to teach your children with your greater knowledge even if they feel hard done by. I am honestly trying to save us all including the wimps and wets who can't challenge a thing they are told by anyone in authority.

So I have another test of the guidance. I really trust it now as although there's been plenty of shit to slip in since it happened I don't seem to have broken anything when I did. I do my bit, I spend hours searching online when nothing else to do, and always get other photos when I find something unless I go in the dark. I hadn't been to some places I used to know well for years as no reason or incentive, plus the congestion charge as a Berlin Wall with cameras. I'm sure Surrey has more, probably even a red triangle on some farm track, but how long would it take to find one?

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Is it actually happening?

Well I'm still learning. I see the way any positivity becomes sabotaged one way or another, which in duality (ie the non enlightened view) is inevitable. Heads and tails. You get the positive and the negative is there underneath about to cancel it out. But while in duality now I've seen this am working to see if I can divert it each time something heads in a positive direction to stop that before it does so.

So I've got a blank slate. My studying (such as it is) continues, most is familiar as I've been studying alien abductees for a long time already and those studies not familiar by name just cover the same things over again as basically the format of regressions and their subjects is pretty fixed within its parameters.
Besides my friends arriving from America next week for the second time since 2002 my plans are clear. A couple of bookings at least next week which is useful, although this week was unknown but got plenty done. I am still not dismissing the message I got something good is on its way, despite my initial feeling being within the next day. That was my test of faith. I think I know the difference between something and nothing and won't let that one go. If it meant rather than sit back and receive I had to do something, then I've done something and can only now sit back and wait as there's nothing else left.

Of course the future can go either way, and like the little device with pins in a triangle where the balls fall down and land in a triangle, the likeliest directions are near the centre, but then again one has to go at the extreme end sometimes and I'm well overdue one at the good end now. I certainly felt disaster coming most of my life and very reliably, and never seen anything good coming besides once when I knew I'd meet someone at my friend's sister's party, and she was one of the best ever. Sod the science, what I'm working with now all goes way above any science we can offer. It's showing new boundaries but so far not smoothly or consistenly, but what ever does?

Monday, October 20, 2008

The world today

One question that comes to mind at the moment, am I getting anywhere? In what I call duality, ie the world before enlightenment where everything is real despite being told it's not, sod all. Absolutely zero. Every plan this year has ended up in landfill, women, media work and any other plan that could have improved my life had it actually happened.
Thank goodness outside duality my own inner work as been shifted as there is now no mental blockage to enlightenment. I'm even noticing little things for the first time since I began this path in 1997 and know they are signs something in there probably is happening. But until and unless it keeps doing so I'm still in this world and would like it to provide some more than there currently is.

I've got nothing left in the way of work or social projects, the last lot delivered what they did and that's it. Some of the old ones will crawl on, like selling a few more photobooks and postcards, but they are at a loss more or less and won't get me any better work unless a shop was to order some. At least with my health picking up I now both visit and appreciate covering my areas, the shops of NW11, N10 and NW3 for a start. Before it was just as routine as cleaning my teeth but now I realise what I can get from every interactive part of my life, being stopped from it for so long. Technically it only needs one, two at the most people to fix many of my problems from lack of pleasure. One friend and one woman. Too much of a tall order? 97% of all those over 25 I come across who want not to be single (OK it's a guess but probably not far off) so why should I be left out? It must include (anti-PC alert!!!) cripples, midgets and mingers who all seem to more or less manage like everyone else, albeit not as frequently, so how did I miss? All the elements one would say women were looking for besides being normal height were in my profile at one stage or other but made no difference. The good ones always left before things got interesting, even if it was not because of me.

So day by day more little jobs need to be doing as we all have (unless we have other people to do them for us), I wander around collecting new bus numbers and station photos for the groups, and write about it afterwards. I have compared my blogs to exploring a well used hanky at times, as you just go from one mess to the next. I can't philosophise that besides seeing all events come in phases, big and small. Including non events, which all rolled up this year. I did sell 10 postcards, see a dodgy car number plate with the camera this time, and get a DVD of the colour trade tests I hadn't seen since 1972, but in a year or so that's not really much, but at least on the inner side my major project may just have opened up. But that is unknown territory and can't see what may be ahead, if anything is. That's new science so not able to navigate any unless I learn more from experience. It just takes one area to shift. It's a big ask but one which others seem to get, at least with friends and partners, with little effort. The business side is more in my control besides the ultimate fame element, unless I start showing myself off in other ways if I can think of any. Without the help of an insider that path is almost shut and I can't think of any others I can become connected with.

Meanwhile the economy affects those involved with it, a few go broke and many lose their jobs, and many more are being rewarded and if whoever objected to me getting benefits for major medical issues then divert your wrath to the greedy bastards who gambled on getting more debts repayed than was possible and are now being fed far more than I'll ever be given in my life. It's not those who deserve money that are given it all the time but those who have the real power. It's called corruption and because of that there isn't enough for those who really do need it. I borrowed once for a loft conversion, it cost me far more than I expected and paid it off as soon as possible and never again. Loft conversions are one of the few areas where work done will on average return twice the investment if you paid a reasonable price, and I needed the space. But in the same situation again I'd move somewhere cheaper with the room already. I've learnt, will anyone else?

My crystal ball is now clear. It sees a horizon hours ahead and beyond that the assumption is based on inertia, that things will stay the same unless something moves one of them. Even watching the economy news has lost its appeal after doing some research. The recessions since the 30s have been so trivial to all but the unluckiest, and like climate change, I was totally unaware of their existence besides what I was told on the news. Except they were real unlike climate change (besides the fact it always does). What we have now is simply a worldwide shared debt based on unrestricted lending and the resulting carnage. No cause at all in the real world. No droughts, shortages or wars beyond the average. Just greed. The lenders were greedy and fed on greedy borrowers with apparently no end to the repayments based on property security which was worth half what was lent on it. I'm not an expert but that is the level of maths I did in kindergarten. They stuffed their heads in the sand and pretended it couldn't happen. So now world governments have decided the claim needed for benefits now includes corporate bankruptcy. Please start disapproving of others now, I could never compete with them.

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

A threadworm of hope

OK, we're all back to normal again. Although the 14th October ufo had 'cack' written through it like a stick of rock, all the other disappointments in my recent life all had a chance of actually happening, some almost changing my life as much as a real ufo sighting would have.

There has been: New girlfriend of one date replacing me for ex. Ex girlfriend still interested decades later drops me like a handful of worms. The Sun interview me for an article they didn't use (possibly only chance to reach big time). Two people refuse to appear in latest TV programme delayed 3 years already. No record of my IQ test now Mensa accept outside ones.

There are more, and a few that actually worked but not much for a while, but with such a list wouldn't anyone get an attitude?

So life is ordinary. Very ordinary. My purpose in life is taking bus numbers for a photo pool, helping a few people at work and in my family and blogging. In case it goes over a few heads much of these blogs is intended as comedy although based on real life. Subtle but there if you look. Seeing the funny side of as much as possible is a recognised form of help, and that's why very little is above being the topic of humour, including the holiest Meat Loaf himself. I am considering writing a song on the lines of 'I'm sitting on it right now', 'What's hanging out my pyjamas?' (ans, my mother...), 'I may be a wanker but at least I don't support Arsenal', 'But at least I'm not Hitler', 'I wouldn't do that for cash either', and 'It's seven inches long' (the riddle is to listen to the lyrics to find what is). A deep vein of nonsense in a single line of music.

Seeing a programme on TV last week also reminded me however nostalgic I am for some of the people I met there, I shouldn't be too nostalgic about actually being at school. Much of it was boring and some was hell, and was far better off after leaving it, even the one I liked in the long run. The real key to it was the social part, where London/Britain's top brains sent their brainiest kids to the same places so instead of mixing with the usual mix of rough and dull kids they met ones just like themselves, who are normally very few and far between, as at my annual music holiday (1968-89). Nowadays these people are either memories, annual visits or dead. I wanted to join Mensa to keep meeting them, and the status was a bonus. I know a law degree is thousands of times harder than a Mensa test (I've done both) and is many exams rather than just one. In fact I'd like a psychologist to assess the whole degree spread and see if it could actually qualify you for the IQ as well if passed at a certain level. All the same skills are involved as unlike the arts you have to apply the knowledge besides learn it. And there's maths involved at times which was something I found virtually impossible on its own.

I now find such people online but spread evenly round the world. I even meet the odd one when they visit London but very rarely. It's a bit like being a freemason, we can usually spot each other by a few little signals and feel like family. It's not pride or elitism, simply being judged by performance. You start by thinking what you understood was common knowledge and then found at 11 or so teachers and many adults didn't follow what was bloody obvious to you. Then you realise you are going to struggle to be understood for the rest of your life, and would end up a leader rather than a member of the pack as it was like seeing a different horizon to everyone else. To keep it warm we play quizzes or take on other challenges from time to time, often to make sure we haven't lost it. Playing professional quizzers for 4 months and coming 8th from many thousands was my last effort, as every so often some wiseacre doubts your credentials, as if intelligence was a hoax you could pretend to have to big yourself up when you were really like everyone else. I suppose it can only be seen by those who can recognise it. It has no connection to emotional maturity, in fact maybe an inverse one, as we are often childlike and innocent, and have the social skills of a 9 year old. We find life interesting enough without having to learn boring and pointless routines just to fit in with the masses. So we do often fit the streotype as a stereotype is made by collecting common characteristics and fitting them together where anyone seeing it would recognise it, even if an exaggeration. And if you're on the cusp of social acceptibility, being an only child does the last push into social exclusion, amplifying every element of isolation and self enquiry. I don't look for praise just like tall people don't need respect for having abnormally long legs. I just don't want stick for it and have to pretend I'm just like your average Joe when I'm clearly not.

So, with so much time and space the blog fills a huge gap, as did a couple of days reading the often insightful comments on the 14th October blogs, where the full spectrum of human strengths and weaknesses were displayed. Like Big Brother, but with the spiritual side. It's over now though and not a thing has changed. Will it ever?

Friday, October 10, 2008

Psychic research review

I've been busy today (surprise from all around) on many different fronts. Some totally wasted effort, some real work (more surprise but despite no regular job I do some work and always have), and a lot of research. One contact pointed me to another prediction, that the ETs are going to appear in a ship on the 14th of October. Oh dear, not again. These buggers don't give advance warning. No one ever does. 'He shall come as a thief in the night' is thousands of years old and a quote that applies to every major event in the universe. Can you imagine the aliens putting an ad in the Radio Times 'Tuesday October 14th 6pm (GMT) Alien ship arrival in the skies. All channels'. If only. The only interesting part was all satellite images have had a kite shaped area covered up over the Arctic for days as the US Defense department who censor such things have something they don't want us to see.
Of course it's actually all the money flowing out of Iceland who have just robbed the world of billions, including £15 million from my own London borough. Or they have gunships trained on it already to take it over on our behalf and can't be seen doing so. That makes sense.

Meanwhile life goes on. I look in authentic places for my escape for the world and follow up the less likely as well just in case. The greatest feature of ufos and their occupants is their selectivity. They decide who will see and hear them and do not announce anything but the vaguest details. Such details however are authentic as the spidersweb of data I've collected over the last 7 years has such obscure information, often given by more than one person, that by the time I've checked it all I've had to dig around obscure corners for weeks. Be honest, for example, how many people know (or can even find) Hathor relates to the Pleiades. The Pleiades are the Seven Sisters, and Hathor in Egypt had 7 different animal representations, each relating to one of the stars in the constellation. My client produced this over two sessions, through her contact called Sarsha. One day I was watching Lyssa Royal Holt on TV and she started talking about it and the various plans for the Earth and how they worked with the ancient Egyptians. I said hang on, this is the same thing my client told me. Then she said her channel was Sarsha.
The chance my client had come across her as well is unlikely but possible, but she isn't the only one telling me this. Someone else covered half the same information before I met her and clearly not from Lyssa as seemed to come from a different source. I check and double check all my people, and a liar can be tripped up sooner or later however clever. And the point of coming to me from miles away to discover who knows what doesn't seem at the time a way to start a new career. I'm the one seeking publicity not them, and do it through what I believe are honest people providing new information.

It's better than being bored anyway. I meet many fascinating new people and many are anonymous and terrified of being known about. Their stories are no different from the others and all follow a similar pattern which seems to imply the same sort of thing has happened to all of them. Liars can't all make up the same story. Not this complex. I crossed the point of doubt years ago but have to address them for the readers as technically the best evidence is obscure experiences shared by people scattered around the world, plus scientific information that holds up under testing. I've seen dodgy presentations all over the place, and they all seem too good to be true, contradict themselves, drop big names and end up being one person's attempt for publicity and money. Planet X, Ed Dames (the one who announced the last date for a ufo to be revealed in front of the world's press on a particular date), Orme powder (look it up if you need to), and so many others which unravel on contact. Unlike these the few that remain build with time and add new facts.

If the 14th proves to be real then all us researchers will be free as there'll be nothing left to research. There will be no disbelievers and no religion. And (ahem) no more talk about global fucking warming. Any world where the population are so flaming thick they genuinely accept a small rise in temperature will make a blind bit of difference just shows that an average IQ of 100 is easily led. Like borrowing money they can't pay back. All the same thing. The poor sheep, some (triple figure IQs) learn from their mistakes and kick themselves for being caught in the first place, the rest often go back for more, like the total maroons who bought privatised shares after they'd almost gone broke. We all see and know people flying into the flame like moths, and can do nothing about it, but it costs us all money when they make us broke for allowing policies to affect us all.

I've had long enough to test my own intuition to trust it nowadays. Not in small details but bigger pictures. I see it in others, and regularly check back to see if they are on the same track or not as me. When we all work out the same thing as if it was in a diagram in front of us then we are presumably right. There will always be well meaning and desperate people wishing for things to happen to fix it but that doesn't happen. The bastards will still be bastards and ET has better things to do and places to go than worry about us. They would have got where they were by steady evolution not sudden education from outside, and will have to let every other race do the same. I suppose at least this won't drag on for years like Planet X, but is no different. This poor guy who has built a whole website on it like Planet X did in 2003 (predictions made for arrival every few months) will see his career end on the 15th. I deal in science which takes steady effort and occasionally gets a sudden jump. The Large Hadron Collider, our only scientific tool publicly allowed to work, may even have been sabotaged, as definitely the powers that be have made efforts to stop it already with no luck and it is now well buggered for a long time. They may have discovered nothing but we may now never have the chance to find out as I expect as soon as they fix it another part will mysteriously fail as if British Leyland/Rover have quietly started business building that when they went out of it here. That or someone's tampering with it.

David's prediction: On the 15th of October my blog will still be here! I'll put my house on that one, if I'm not then I won't need it anyway.