Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Material errors in climate science discovered

Known errors committed by climate scientists so far (and growing):


James Hansen predicted temperature and sea level rises of a few degrees and feet by 2020 at the latest in the 80s. In 2012 the temperature rose less than half a degree and the sea by a couple of inches. He continues to make similar predictions to this day although clearly nowhere close to reality from the beginning.


Hansen's claims


After claiming (unanimously) the largest chain of glaciers on earth was melting at a very specific 50 billion tons of water a year, a study in 2012 actually measuring it directly found it had not changed at all in a decade. Some scientists expressed surprise but no apologies were forthcoming.

"The world's greatest snow-capped peaks, which run in a chain from the Himalayas to Tian Shan on the border of China and Kyrgyzstan, have lost no ice over the last decade, new research shows.

The discovery has stunned scientists, 
who had believed that around 50bn tonnes of meltwater were being shed each year and not being replaced by new snowfall."


Imaginary ice loss


Until 1995 the warmer than present medieval warm period was part of the official UN data, one day it vanished from their records, replaced with the hockey stick, which could not function with a higher period previously. It remains in all textbooks and studies from the period and earlier but no longer acknowledged by the converts to the hockey stick. But in order to accept the hockey stick it was necessary to rewrite the past.

 There are slews of 'adjusted' before and after climate records on my other entries, but this probably takes the biscuit as they were issued by none other than the IPCC, one until 1995 and then replaced by the more familiar 'hockey stick'. Clearly both can't be right, so one must be wrong, and they have clearly made a mistake either way. 

Medieval warm period is here


In March 2012 a report came out predicting massive sea level rises as usual, but quoted the current sea levels as being “ATLANTIC CITY, N.J. (CBS) — A new report shows sea levels are rapidly rising and the study predicts the Jersey Shore could be underwater in a matter of decades.”


Another wild claim, with material error


Except the rapidly rising sea levels they quote have fallen as much in the last couple of years than they had risen in the previous three, bringing them back to 2005 levels. In fact the sea level has been rising at around 8 inches a century and currently could barely reach that at the current rate, and the stalled temperature and world ice levels all correspond with each other as stable within normal variations.


Actual sea level figures


The IPCC created a graph predicting temperatures under varying levels of CO2, and come 2012 the actual temperature was below that of the stable level with none added, despite the actual CO2 rising steadily for decades.


IPCC predictions vs reality

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